Subject Areas: Bayesian methods; Big Data; Business cycles; Climate and environment; Combinations; Crime; Data mining; Demand; Demography; Denisty; Econometrics; Education; Energy; Exponential smoothing; Finance; Forecast evaluation; Government forecasting; Healthcare; Inflation; Intermittent demand;...

The International Symposium on Forecasting, presented by the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF), is the premier international event for professional forecasters. Subject Areas: Bayesian methods, Big Data, Business cycles, Climate and environment, Combinations, Crime, Data mining,...

The ISF Program Committee looks forward to receiving abstracts and hearing inventive presentations that demonstrate again that the annual forecasting symposium is the only forum where the latest forecasting problems are confronted by new solutions.

The International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF) is the premier forecasting conference, attracting the world’s leading forecasting researchers, practitioners, and students.

The event is a combination of lectures on the theory and methods of policy analysis and design, practical problems in modelling and forecasting and computer-based exercises. The following topics are likely to be covered: - techniques for modelling unobserved economic components, state-space...

The topics covered in the event will fit within the following broad themes: - models of financial services regulation including the ‘twin peaks’ model adopted in the United Kingdom; - a judgement-based, forward-looking approach to prudential supervision; - the interplay between...

The topics covered are likely to include: - an overview of aspects of the data justifying an analysis of financial frictions; - different ways of deviating from the frictionless benchmark: - costly state verification - collateral constraints - costly enforcement; - models of financial...

The event will cover both theoretical and empirical analyses of the functioning of the international monetary system. The following topics are likely to be covered: - the interplay between domestic policy frameworks and the international monetary and financial system; - the role of ‘rules of...

The following key topics are likely to be covered: - approaches to business model analysis for banks, insurers and significant investment firms; - using the results of analysis to focus supervisory activity; and - flexible and proportionate approaches to business modelanalysis that can be...

The following topics will be covered: - credit and asset price cycles; - statistical measures of systemic risk: - Value-at-Risk (VaR) - Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) - Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES); - network models for systemic risk assessment; and - macroeconomic stress testing.