Am 29.09.2022 hat die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose der führenden deutschen Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute ihr Herbstgutachten über die Entwicklung der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft vorgelegt. Mit dem Titel „Energiekrise: Inflation, Rezession, Wohlstandsverlust“...

We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using a unique intraday dataset, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity...

Joint with the Swiss National Bank, the Study Center sponsors a biannual conference organized jointly with the Journal of Monetary Economics. Each conference focuses on a specific topic of relevance for central banks and features six to eight papers that are contributed by leading specialists in...

The aim of the conference is to bring together scholars to present their current research involving expectations surveys. Over the past decade, researchers and central banks have started to collect survey data on expectations from consumers, economists, professional forecasters, and firms. These...

Session Topics Include: - New Economic Data in the Wake of COVID: Potential and Pitfalls - Ukraine-Russia War and Aftermath: Geopolitical and Economic Perspectives - From Just-in-Time to Just-in-Case? Assessing the Resiliency of Supply Chains - Trade and Technology: U.S. and China's Power...

The fall 2022 edition of Kieler Konjunkturgespräche takes a closer look at inflation dynamics, the proper response of monetary policy and consequences for the global economy. Strong demand during the post-Covid recovery, supply chain disruptions and exploding prices for energy, food and other...

The conference will bring together top researchers from academia, central banks and other policy institutions to present research findings related to inflation.

We present evidence that the rise in inflation in Japan since 2014 is a result of a hidden stagflation: the relative prices of durable consumption and ICT investment goods stopped declining, reflecting technology stagnation and exerting an inflationary pressure on the economy and; the real side...

Professors Eric Ghysels, Massimiliano Marcellino and Jonas Straukas will a three-day course entitled “What's New in Mixed Frequency Data (MIDAS), with Applications to Machine Learning and Big Data”. The focus of the course is the use of mixed frequency data in economics and finance. A...

Topics: Macroeconomic implications of new monetary policy strategies; Monetary policy in models with heterogeneous agents; Implications of structural changes for monetary policy; Monetary policy and bounded rationality of economic agents; Distributional effects of conventional and unconventional...