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~isPartOf:"ECB Working Paper"
~person:"Ehrmann, Michael"
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Geography or Skills : What Explains Fed Watchers' Forecast Accuracy of Us Monetary Policy?
Berger, Helge
;
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Fratzscher, Marcel
-
2021
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worst-performers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317363
Saved in:
2
Credibility gains from communicating with the public: Evidence from the ECB's new monetary policy strategy
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Georgarakos, Dimitris
;
Kenny, Geoff
-
2023
We show that the announcement of the ECB's Strategy Review and the revision of its inflation target in summer 2021 went largely unnoticed by the wider public. Although it is hard to reach out to this group, we find evidence that communicating key elements of the strategy can enhance the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374473
Saved in:
3
Monetary policy communication: Perspectives from former policy makers at the ECB
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Holton, Sarah
;
Kedan, Danielle
; …
-
2021
This paper reports the results of a
survey
of former members of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank … the ambiguity of the "below, but close to, 2%" formulation that was in place at the time of the
survey
. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819041
Saved in:
4
The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Eijffinger, Sylvester
;
Fratzscher, Marcel
-
2010
There is a broad consensus in the literature that costs of information processing and acquisition may generate costly disagreements in expectations among economic agents, and that central banks may play a central role in reducing such dispersion in expectations. This paper analyses empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605192
Saved in:
5
Memories of high inflation
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Tzamourani, Panagiota
-
2009
about the importance attached to price stability, using a large database covering over 52,000
survey
responses from 23 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605141
Saved in:
6
The Reception of Public Signals in Financial Markets : What if Central Bank Communication Becomes Stale?
Ehrmann, Michael
-
2009
How do financial markets price new information? This paper analyzes price setting at the intersection of private and public information, by testing whether and how the reaction of financial markets to public signals depends on the relative importance of private information in agents' information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157672
Saved in:
7
Geography or skills: What explains Fed watchers’ forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?
Berger, Helge
;
Ehrmann, Michael
;
Fratzscher, Marcel
-
2006
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worst-performers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604741
Saved in:
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