Lehmann, Robert - ifo Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der … - 2015
In this study, we evaluate whether survey-based indicators produce lower forecast errorsfor export growth than … forecastencompassingtests reveal that survey-based indicators outperform the benchmarkmodel as well as the indicators from hard data for most of … expectations. However, largecountry differences in the forecast accuracy of survey-based indicators emerge. Thesedifferences are …