L'objectif de cet article est de confronter deux mesures classiques du risque de défaillance de l'émetteur, la notation et l'écart de rentabilité. La première est attribuée par des agences spécialisées dans cette activité (Standard and Poor's et Moody's) alors que la seconde résulte du...

The problem of fair pricing of contingent claims is well understood in the contex of an arbitrage free, complete financial market, with perfect information : the so-called arbitrage approach permits to construct a unique valuation operator compatible with observed price rocesses. In the more...

Speculators can discover whether a signal is true or false by processing it but this takes time. Hence they face a trade-off between trading fast on a signal (i.e., before processing it), at the risk of trading on a false news, or trading after processing the signal, at the risk that prices...

Testing for normality is of paramount importance in many areas of science since the Gaussian distribution is a key hypothesis in many models. As the use of semi–moments is increasing in physics, economics or finance, often to judge the distributional properties of a given sample, we propose a...

We present a simple theory of business-cycle movements of option prices and volumes. This theory relies on time-varying heterogeneity between agents in their demand for insurance against aggregate risk. Formally, we build an infinite-horizon model where agents face an aggregate risk, but also...

We consider the channel consisting in transferring the credit risk associated with refinancing operations between financial institutions to market participants. In particular, we analyze liquidity and volatility premia on the French government debt securities market, since these assets are used...

We examine a number of unexplored factors that affect the ex-post adoption rates of newly listed stock options. We show that a variety of measures of information asymmetries concerning underlying stocks predict option adoption rates. These predictive relationships are robust to control factors...

We prove a general version of the super-replication theorem, which applies to Kabanov’s model of foreign exchange markets under proportional transaction costs. The market is described by a matrix-valued càdlàg bid-ask process $$(\Pi_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$$ evolving in continuous time. We propose a...

When the markets are dynamically complete and without imperfections there are three equivalent approaches in order to price a given asset : the arbitrage approach through the existence of a risk-neutral density, the utility approach through a utility maximization program and the equilibrium...

In this paper, we propose to identify the dependence structure existing between the returns of equity and commodity futures and its evolution through the past 20 years. The key point is that we do not do not impose the dependence structure but let the data select it. To do so, we model the...