Showing 1 - 10 of 141
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher’s own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher’s data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011205384
Channel systems for conducting monetary policy are becoming increasingly popular. Despite their popularity, the consequences of implementing policy with a channel system are not well understood. We develop a general equilibrium framework of a channel system and investigate the optimal policy. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181445
recently adopted inflation targets. Some significant shifts in the conduct of monetary policy are detected in the G3 countries … begin to look consistent with an inflation-targeting regime. In addition, the introduction of inflation targeting and … inflation targets and central bank reforms. The paper challenges the one-size-fits-all attitude towards modern central bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406413
This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861862
This paper estimates forward-looking Taylor rules for the euro area. Using the asymmetries in inflation and cyclical … not there has been a synchronisation of business and inflation cycles among the EMU member countries over the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406450
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051516
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257668
The aim of this paper is to provide some new empirical evidence on the determinants of volatility of real exchange … and monetary) can account for volatility of real exchange rates in emerging economies, with international financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371352
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391720
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the impact of commodity price volatility on economic growth in a … panel of up to 158 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that commodity price volatility leads to a … result, we show that increased commodity price volatility leads to a statistically significant and quantitatively large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352227