L'objectif de cet article est de confronter deux mesures classiques du risque de défaillance de l'émetteur, la notation et l'écart de rentabilité. La première est attribuée par des agences spécialisées dans cette activité (Standard and Poor's et Moody's) alors que la seconde résulte du...

The problem of fair pricing of contingent claims is well understood in the contex of an arbitrage free, complete financial market, with perfect information : the so-called arbitrage approach permits to construct a unique valuation operator compatible with observed price rocesses. In the more...

This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for the US and the German stock markets. The method extracts jump tail measures from high-frequency futures price data and from options data. In a second step, jump tail...

Testing for normality is of paramount importance in many areas of science since the Gaussian distribution is a key hypothesis in many models. As the use of semi–moments is increasing in physics, economics or finance, often to judge the distributional properties of a given sample, we propose a...

The paper presents a comprehensive data set of all bonds issued by the sixteen German states (L¨ander) since 1992. It thus provides a complete picture of a capital market comparable in size to funds raised in the German fixed income market for corporations. The quantitative analysis reveals...

The current crisis and discussions, in the euro area in particular, show that sovereign debt crises/defaults are no longer restricted to developing economies. After crises in many Latin American countries, the literature on quantitative dynamic macro-models of sovereign default has been...

Using a unique data set that contains the complete ownership structure of the German stock market, we study the momentum and contrarian trading of different investor groups. Foreign investors and financial institutions, and especially mutual funds, are momentum traders, whereas private...

We prove a general version of the super-replication theorem, which applies to Kabanov’s model of foreign exchange markets under proportional transaction costs. The market is described by a matrix-valued càdlàg bid-ask process $$(\Pi_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$$ evolving in continuous time. We propose a...

When the markets are dynamically complete and without imperfections there are three equivalent approaches in order to price a given asset : the arbitrage approach through the existence of a risk-neutral density, the utility approach through a utility maximization program and the equilibrium...

L'objectif de cet article est d'étudier le processus de construction sociale d'un nouveau marché financier. L'analyse qualitative longitudinale menée sur la période 1996-2005 concerne le développement du marché des dérivés de crédit, marché de gré à gré transnational. Comment ce...