Showing 1 - 10 of 19
Financial markets are typically characterized by high (low) price level and low (high) volatility during boom (bust) periods, suggesting that price and volatility tend to move together with different market conditions/states. By proposing a simple heterogeneous agent model of fundamentalists and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009018967
This paper extends the analysis of the seminal paper of Brock and Hommes (1998) on heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset price model in discrete-time to a model in continuous-time. The resulting model characterized mathematically by a system of stochastic delay differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009357757
We develop a continuous-time asset price model to capture the time series momentum documented recently. The underlying stochastic delay differential system facilitates the analysis of effects of different time horizons used by momentum trading. By studying an optimal asset allocation problem, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123928
The market selection depends on agent's survival index, which is a function of agent's belief and risk preference. When preferences are identical, the survival index of an agent is a decreasing function of his belief accuracy and therefore agent survives if and only if he has the lowest survival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643367
Heterogeneity and evolutionary behaviour of investors are two of the most important characteristics of financial markets. This papers incorporates the adaptive behaviour of agents with heterogeneous beliefs and establishes an evolutionary capital asset pricing model (ECAPM) within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643371
Heterogeneity and interacting among boundedly rational agents have received an increasing attention in the finance and economics literature. Recent developments on the role of heterogeneous beliefs on asset pricing and the adaptive behaviour of financial markets shed light into the complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643373
When agents have irrational beliefs which are rational on average, it has been shown that the effect of their trades does not cancel out in general and can lead to time variations in market price of risk and volatility. In this paper, we follow the differences-in-opinion approach and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643375
We propose a continuous-time heterogeneous agent model consisting of fundamental, momentum, and contrarian traders to explain the significant time series momentum. We show that the market under-reacts in short-run and overreacts in long-run when momentum traders dominate the market, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883503
This paper empirically assesses heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing. We use a maximum likelihood approach on S&P500 data to estimate a structural model. Our empirical results are consistent with a market populated with fundamentalists and chartists. In addition, agents switch between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883504
When people agree to disagree, this paper examines the impact of the disagreement among agents on market equilibrium and equity premium. Within the standard mean variance framework, we consider a market of two risky assets, a riskless asset and two (and then a continuum of) agents who have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515807