Showing 1 - 10 of 1,551
Market reaction to a change in official interest rates will depend on the extent to which the change is anticipated, and on how it is interpreted as a signal of future policy. In this paper, a technique is developed to separate the anticipated and unanticipated components of such changes and is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400820
estimate a New Keynesian Phillips curve for Armenia, suggesting a significant role of the output gap and inflation expectations … in determining current inflation. Finally, the underlying fiscal stance over the period 2000-09 is assessed by estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398416
adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union … credibility, and that a positive inflation target, as opposed to zero inflation, leads to higher and less volatile output. These … countries supports country-specific flexible inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400852
We provide a framework for analyzing the choice between optimal and robust monetary policy rules in the presence of paradigm uncertainty. We first discuss the conditions on uncertainty that render a robust rule preferable to an optimal rule. Second, we show how the degree of risk aversion of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401324
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. We incorporate a multi … exchange rate volatility depends on relative technological differences and trade costs. These differences highlight a new … volatility. We then test the importance of this channel using a large panel of cross-country data over 1970-97, and find strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399797
anti-inflation policy that has led to a sharp decline in inflation. To institute a monetary policy framework, a nominal … currency in circulation, conduct more sophisticated tests to assess the relationship between inflation and the monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242840
Effects of different policy rules are simulated: uncoordinated targeting of the money supply or nominal income, use of monetary policy to achieve coordinated targets for nominal or real exchange rates, and the use of monetary and fiscal policies to hit targets for internal and external balance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396458
It is shown how the frequency of central bank intervention in financial markets can affect the incentives for economic agents to acquire information, which will be reflected in market prices and thus become available to policy makers. The optimal frequency of intervention, and therefore the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403364
backward-looking inflation expectations. However, it does not lead to instability in several large multicountry econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396137
The paper examines the case for contingent financial instruments for low-income countries (LICs), from both the market and official sector. These include commodity price hedging instruments, contingent debt instruments (commodity-linked bonds, deferred repayment loans), and natural disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014410218