Dependence on credit ratings is an important issue for managing credit risk. This paper assesses credit risk using a multivariate Markov chain model that calculates dependence on credit ratings. We demonstrate the practical implementation of the proposed model using the rating data of 15...

The goal of this paper is to present an original and simple analysis aimed to understand why investing in capital markets can be very dangerous for "naive investors". Stock markets display often exploding volatility. They are characterized by instability and subject to external shocks. If...

Contemporary research documents various psychological aspects of economic thought and decision-making. The main goal of our study is to analyze the role of the hindsight bias (Fischhoff [20]) and the anchoring bias (Tversky and Kahneman [53]) in perceiving economic and financial information,...

In this study, we used the PSTR (panel smooth transition regression) model to investigate the nonlinear relationship between beta (systematic risk) and returns (world market excess returns) for net oil export and net oil import groups. We set the volatility of world market excess return as the...