The model presented in this paper has two objectives. First, it models global imbalances in a simple way while conserving real and financial approaches. This double approach is necessary because Global Imbalances are due to the conjunction of financial and real phenomena: the increase in the...

This article studies the emergence of global imbalances. A periodisation is made up using precise statistical tools. Imbalances are then studied using three original indicators. The first underlines their recent concentration. The second shows that Europe is the only great economic zone not to...

L'estimation de l'intensité du déséquilibre courant mondialde 1850 à 2002 permet de distinguer un cycle britannique et un cycle américain.Ce papier identifie les étapes du cycle britannique des déséquilibresfinanciers internationaux depuis l'afflux d'or américain en Europe jusqu'à...

Ce papier étudie l'impact des principaux chocs externes qu'a connu la zone euro et ses pays membres depuis le début des années 2000 : chocs monétaire (baisse des taux d'intérêts mondiaux), financier (deux crises boursières) et réel (augmentation des prix du pétrole et accumulation de...

This paper studies the impact of the main external shocks which the eurozone and member states have undergone since the start of the 2000s. Such shocks have been monetary (drop in global interest rates), financial (two stock market crises) and real (rising oil prices and an accumulation of...

On October 10th, 2011 the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences awarded the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel to Thomas Sargent and Christopher Sims "for their empirical research on cause and effect in the macroeconomy". In this article we present the...

This article provides insight into the future of financial markets and regulation in order to define what would be the best strategy for Europe. To preserve financial stability, Europe has to choose between financial opening and independently determining how to regulate finance. Among the five...