either the inflation or the output gap varies in terms of magnitude and/or statistical significance across the high and low … inflation regimes in all countries. In particular, the exchange rate has an impact in the former but not in the latter regime …

sample periods. The exchange rate equation implied by the interest rate rule that allows for interest rate and inflation …

, output volatility, and economic growth, using a large cross-section of 88 countries over the period 1960 to 2004 … results: First, both pro- and countercyclical fiscal policy amplify output volatility, much in a way like pure fiscal shocks … that are unrelated to the cycle. Second, output volatility, due to variations in cyclical and discretionary fiscal policy …

In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy … 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited signs of volatility, owing to the breakdown in interbank market … activity. The determinants of this volatility are assessed using Stochastic Volatility models to gauge the role played by …

estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or …This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …

This paper presents empirical evidence against the popular perception that macro volatility is exogenous. We obtain tax … effects on macro volatility, explicitly modeling the unobserved variance process. We find a strong empirical link between … taxes and output volatility. Accounting for non-stationarity of taxes and output volatility, we find empirical evidence of a …

This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …

data properties. In particular, it is shown that changes in the volatility of the shocks can be used for identification …

offshoring plays for domestic volatility of employment. Offshoring is modeled as in Antràs & Helpman (2004), but we assume … has a pro-offshoring effect. And 2), under this same condition, offshoring increases volatility in domestic employment of … offshoring firms and the volatility of offshore employment of these same firms is larger than volatility of domestic employment …