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Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy. The ten methods are variants and extensions of the Lee-Carter method. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009225984
At the turn of the twentieth century Italy registered a lowest-low fertility level, i.e., a total fertility rate of 1.26 children per woman in 2000. In this paper we investigate whether and how in that period economic resources and, in particular, income and job stability were linked with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228755
In this paper we present indicators of household structure for 26 of the 27 countries of the post-enlargement European Union. As well as broad indicators of household type, we present statistics on single-person and extended-family households, and on the households of children and older people....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246661
This paper deals with the relationship between household emigration and short-term crisis in a rural community of mid-19th century Tuscany. Based on a detailed reconstruction of individual and household life-histories, the paper shows the close relationship between household emigration and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009251321
Periods of high and persistent unemployment since the late 1980s as well as an upward trend in the share of temporary employment characterize recent labor market instability in Europe. This paper analyzes the associations between timing to a second birth and changing economic environment. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276064
The Parsis, a community of Iranian descent, are an important ethno-religious minority group in India. Over the past few decades this group has shown a sharp numerical decline. The Parsis in India are endogamous and children of women married outside the community are traditionally not accepted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009277151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010795003
Most of the recent literature on fertility stall has concentrated on sub-Saharan Africa and has highlighted flaws in DHS data. This paper is the first to study an apparent fertility stall in Jordan, using five DHS, and to carry out a rigorous three-stage analysis to assess its genuineness. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010795004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010795005