Das IW Köln hat im 2. Quartal 2017 den Prognosetest des Zentrums für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) übernommen. Dieses führte seit Anfang 2001 quartalsweise diese Umfrage unter Finanzmarktexperten mit dem Ziel durch, der Öffentlichkeit einen Überblick über die Prognosen der...

Pessimism determines the experts' predictions for the second and third quarter of 2019 which can be inferred from the downward revisions of the experts' forecasts. All in all, more downward revisions than upward revisions can be found in the forecasts indicating that the experts have interpreted...

Over the last years, prices for European office space have reached new peaks. This naturally provokes discussion about a possible overheating in the market. One approach to assess price development of real estate markets is the so-called "user cost approach". Typically, this approach is applied...

Pessimism determines the experts' predictions for the last quarter of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, which can be inferred from the downward revisions of the experts' forecasts. More downward revisions than upward revisions indicate that the experts have interpreted the incoming information...

Für den IW Financial Expert Survey werden quartalsweise die Volkswirte von Banken und Versicherungen zu ihrer Einschätzung für die kommenden 3 bzw. 6 Monate befragt. Die Auswertung der Prognosen für das 3. Quartal 2016 zeigt, dass die Experten bis zum Jahresende 2017 im Schnitt von höheren...

Für den IW Financial Expert Survey werden quartalsweise die Volkswirte von Banken und Versicherungen zu ihrer Einschätzung für die kommenden drei und sechs Monate befragt. Die Auswertung der Prognosen für das 4. Quartal 2017 zeigt, dass die Experten für die kommenden sechs Monate...

The IW Financial Expert Survey for the first quarter of 2018 revealed that the surveyed experts predict, on average, higher interest rates and stock market indices, a depreciation of the Euro vis-à-vis the US Dollar, and lower oil prices by the end of the first half of 2018. However, despite...

In the IW Financial Expert Survey for the second quarter of 2018 the surveyed experts predict, on average, a steeper yield curve, i.e. a larger increase in the long-term than in the short-term interest rate. Moreover, the average forecasts indicate higher stock market indices, a depreciation of...

The European Union is currently making significant strides to lead on green finance and align its financial system with its climate, sustainability and clean energy ambitions. The Paris Climate Agreement, the G20 Green Finance Study Group and the G19 Hamburg Climate and Energy Action Plan have...

The experts of the IW Financial Expert Survey predict a steeper yield curve with a larger increase in long-term than in short-term interest rates by the end of 2018. Moreover, the average forecasts indicate higher stock market indices, a mild depreciation of the Euro vis-à-vis the US-Dollar,...