Conrad, Jennifer; Kapadia, Nishad; Xing, Yuhang - In: Journal of Financial Economics 113 (2014) 3, pp. 455-475
Campbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi (2008) show that firms with a high probability of default have abnormally low average future returns. We show that firms with a high potential for default (death) also tend to have a relatively high probability of extremely large (jackpot) payoffs. Consistent...