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examine the channels through which governments achieve fiscal sustainability. We evaluate the ability of this framework to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760575
sustainability. Disclosure of nontraditional debt would imply significant welfare gains for the recipient countries but would reduce … its sustainability. We discuss the implications of nontraditional lending on standard assumptions of sovereign debt models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861729
Numerous evaluations show that conditional cash transfer programs change households' investments in their young children, but there are many open questions about how such changes can be sustained after transfers end. This paper analyzes the role of social interactions with local female leaders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978513
Debt sustainability is fundamentally a probabilistic concept: Debt is rarely sustainable with probability one. We … propose an index of external debt sustainability that reflects this uncertainty. Namely we construct the index as the … strong measures are potentially needed to reestablish sustainability. Exchange rates that appear overvalued in the baseline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941936
sustainability along the metrics we study. Even in countries with high public debt, the penalty for activist discretionary fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948076
of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050287
was certified in March 2017 for fiscal years 2017-18 to 2026-27. Second, we perform a Debt Sustainability Analysis (DSA … that the island's current debt position is unsustainable, and compute the necessary debt relief to restore sustainability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907769
analyze the sustainability of the fiscal policy. We pursue three approaches to examine the sustainability. First, we calculate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121087
Aging populations in advanced economies are placing ever-increasing demands on government spending in the form of old-age benefits. Economies that have promised substantially more benefits than they have made provision to finance are heading into a prolonged era of fiscal stress. Unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129132
Using a recursive empirical model of the real interest rate, GDP growth, and the primary government deficit in the U.S., I solve for the ergodic distribution of the debt/GDP ratio. If such a distribution exists, the government is satisfying its intertemporal budget constraint. One key finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087045