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This paper addresses two basic issues related to technological innovation and climate stabilisation objectives: i) Can … innovation policies be effective in stabilising greenhouse gas concentrations? ii) To what extent can innovation policies … technical progress in the energy sector. We evaluate a range of innovation policies, both as a stand-alone instrument and in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008728830
uncertainty inherent in the innovation process and (2) a systematic evaluation of the tradeoffs in investment allocations across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426210
In this paper we present and discuss the results of an expert elicitation survey on solar technologies. Sixteen leading European experts from the academic world, the private sector and international institutions took part in this expert elicitation survey on Photovoltaic (PV) and Concentrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009486591
Optimal R&D investment is defined by deep uncertainty that can only partially be addressed through historical data. Thus, expert judgments expressed as subjective probability distributions are seen as an alternative way of assessing the potential of new technologies. In this paper we propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487087
The paper describes the results of a survey, carried out with leading EU experts, on the capacity of both fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles to reach commercial success in the next twenty years. The success of electric transport is hampered by a combination of low range, scarce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687354
This paper focuses on technologies which use thermo-chemical or biochemical processes to convert biomass into electricity. We present the results from an expert elicitation exercise involving sixteen leading experts coming from different EU Member States. Aim of the elicitation was to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714384
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003544543
Expert elicitation is a process for eliciting subjective probability distributions from experts about items of interest to decision makers. These methods have been increasingly applied in the energy domain to collect information on the future cost and performance of specific energy technologies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504368