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Modeling ambiguity in expert elicitation surveys : theory and application to solar technology R&D

Athanassoglou, Stergios; Bosetti, Valentina - 2012

Optimal R&D investment is defined by deep uncertainty that can only partially be addressed through historical data. Thus, expert judgments expressed as subjective probability distributions are seen as an alternative way of assessing the potential of new technologies. In this paper we propose a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487087

Case survey for assessing community-based enterprise : a research design

Soviana, Soviana - 2013

Despite the increasing implementation of community-based enterprise (CBE), two problems are prevailing: (1) lack of comprehensive understanding about the organization of CBE and (2) lack of generalizability of the individual findings. In response to these problems, this paper aligns its research...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201604

Innovation benefits from nuclear phase-out : can they compensate the costs?

De Cian, Enrica; Carrara, Samuel; Tavoni, Massimo - 2012

available low carbon mitigation options, can promote innovation in new technologies and eventually generate welfare gains. We … due to both climate and innovation market failures. Our results show that phasing out nuclear power stimulates additional … R&D investments and deployment of infant technologies with large learning potential. The innovation benefits which this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687340

Going electric : expert survey on the future of battery technologies for electric vehicles

Catenacci, Michela; Verdolini, Elena; Bosetti, Valentina; … - 2012

The paper describes the results of a survey, carried out with leading EU experts, on the capacity of both fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles to reach commercial success in the next twenty years. The success of electric transport is hampered by a combination of low range, scarce...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687354

The power of biomass : experts disclose the potential for success of bioenergy technologies

Fiorese, Giulia; Catenacci, Michela; Bosetti, Valentina; … - 2013

This paper focuses on technologies which use thermo-chemical or biochemical processes to convert biomass into electricity. We present the results from an expert elicitation exercise involving sixteen leading experts coming from different EU Member States. Aim of the elicitation was to assess the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714384