Global potential output growth has been flagging. At 2.5 percent in 2013-17, post-crisis potential growth is 0.5 percentage point below its longer-term average and 0.9 percentage point below its average a decade ago. Compared with a decade ago, potential growth has declined 0.8 percentage point...

Across the world, a structural growth slowdown is underway: at current trends, the global potential growth rate - the maximum rate at which an economy can grow without igniting inflation - is expected to fall to a three-decade low over the remainder of the 2020s. The slowdown could be even more...

We analyze the nature of research and development (R&D) that leads to Schumpeterian economic growth in a region that is creative in the sense of Richard Florida. The engine of economic growth in our creative region is process innovations that lead to quality improvements in the machines that are...

We analyze the nature of research and development (R&D) that leads to Schumpeterian economic growth in a region that is creative in the sense of Richard Florida. The engine of economic growth in our creative region is process innovations that lead to quality improvements in the machines that are...

In this note, we analyze a stylized creative region that is populated by members of the creative class. The representative individual in this region possesses a constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility function. The existing creative capital is used to produce a final consumption good and...

In this note, we analyze a stylized creative region that is populated by members of the creative class. The representative individual in this region possesses a constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility function. The existing creative capital is used to produce a final consumption good and...

We study a one-period model of an aggregate economy composed of cities and regions that demand vaccines designed to fight a pandemic such as Covid-19. The supply of vaccines is the outcome of Bertrand competition between two firms A and B. The marginal cost of producing the vaccine for both...

This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada, the United States, Germany, and Japan). We employ a dynamic small open economy business cycle model that incorporates a household production sector. We use the model to...

We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...

Against the background of continued growth disappointments, depressed inflation expectations, and declining real equilibrium interest rates, a number of central banks have implemented negative interest rate policies (NIRP) to provide additional monetary policy stimulus over the past few years....