In this paper we standardize, compare, and aggregate results from thirteen surveys of technology experts, performed over a period of five years using a range of different methodologies, but all aiming at eliciting expert judgment on the future cost of five key energy technologies and how future...

This paper analyses optimal investments in innovation when dealing with a stringent climate target and with the uncertain effectiveness of Ramp;D. The innovation needed to achieve the deep cut in emissions is modelled by a backstop carbon-free technology whose cost depends on Ramp;D investments....

In this paper we standardize, compare, and aggregate results from thirteen surveys of technology experts, performed over a period of five years using a range of different methodologies, but all aiming at eliciting expert judgment on the future cost of five key energy technologies and how future...