Using two alternative measures of expected inflation, this study investigates the impact of federal budget deficits on nominal long-term interest rate yields for the 1973.2-1995.4 period. Based on an open­ economy loanable funds framework, four instrumental variable esti­mates in first...

This Note endeavors to illustrate the relevance of the impact of the budget deficit upon the interest rate to the issue of crowding out. It is argued that empirical studies of the impact of deficits upon interest rates may be very useful in det­ermining whether (and how) crowding out occurs,...

This brief Note provides strong empirical evidence that federal govern­ment deficits can indeed have a positive and significant impact upon short­ term interest rates; the findings in this paper thereby establish another mechanism for the transmission of crowding out. This study differs from...

This study empirically investigates the impact of the federal budget deficit on the nominal interest rate yield on high grade long term tax free municipal bonds. Within a system that includes income tax rates, international capital flows, and the primary budget deficit, which excludes net...

This study investigates whether federal government budget deficits in the U.S. over the 1990-99 time period acted to crowd out private investment in new plant and equipment. Using quarterly data, empirical estimations clearly indicate that private investment was in fact negatively impacted by...

This study empirically finds, using ECM, that the primary federal budget deficit shares a bi-directional relationship with the ex ante real interest rate yield on long term municipal bonds. That is, the primary budget deficit acts to raise the real municipal bond yield whereas that yield also...

This note has addressed the empirical issue of crowding out by examining the proportion of GDP devoted to private investment in new physical capital in part as a function of the proportion of GDP devoted to federal government outlays. Three alternative models were estimated, all of which...

This study examines the existence of crowding-out in the United States by determining to what degree the proportion of GNP devoted to private investment in new capital was affected by the proportion of GNP devoted to aggregate federal government spending. The evidence here strongly supports the...

Evans has argued that the federal budget deficit in the United States does not influence the real rate of interest. Indeed, Evans (1985, p. 85) goes so far as to claim that “in over a century of U.S. history, large deficits have never been associated with high interest rate”. By contrast,...

This study investigates whether there is empirical evidence that federal budget deficits in the U.S. actually lead to the crowding out of private investment in new plant and equipment. Several specifications are undertaken. Each of these estimations finds that private investment is apparently...