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In this article, we specify the different approaches followed by the economists and the financial economists in order to use chaos theory. We explain the main difference using this theory with other research domains like the mathematics and the physics. Finally, we present tools necessary for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738474
We propose a novel methodology for forecasting chaotic systems which is based on the nearest-neighbor predictor and improves upon it by incorporating local Lyapunov exponents to correct for its inevitable bias. Using simulated data, we show that gains in prediction accuracy can be substantial....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738670
We examine the effect of two specific noises on a dynamical system. We obtain consistent estimates with their rates of convergence for the invariant density for such a model. Some simulations are provided.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792415
We propose a nouvel methodology for forecasting chaotic systems which uses information on local Lyapunov exponents (LLEs) to improve upon existing predictors by correcting for their inevitable bias. Using simulations of the Rössler, Lorenz and Chua attractors, we find that accuracy gains can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603644