This paper introduces a new method of investment performance analysis, based on the recent approach of Average Internal Rate of Return (AIRR). We show that the approach generates rates of return suitable for assessing both a fund´s (portfolio´s) performance and a manager´s performance. The...

Questo articolo si propone di dimostrare che il ROE (Return On Equity) ha un significato economico pregnante, al contrario di quanto sostenuto nella letteratura finanziaria e manageriale, nonché nella prassi aziendale. In particolare, un´opportuna media dei ROE è in grado di segnalare la...

In investment appraisal, uncertainty can be managed through intervals or fuzzy numbers because the arithmetical properties and the extension principle are well established and can be successfully applied in a rigorous way. We apply interval and fuzzy numbers to the Average Internal Rate of...

The notion of Net Present Value (NPV) is thought to formally translate the notion of economic profit, where the discount rate is the cost of capital. The latter is the expected rate of return of an equivalent-risk alternative that the investor might undertake and is often found by making...

The notion of Net Present Value (NPV) is thought to formally translate the notion of economic profit, where the discount rate is the cost of capital. The latter is the expected rate of return of an equivalent-risk alternative that the investor might undertake and is often found by making...

This paper compares forecasts of real economic growth from models based on the stock market and bond market data. Although both contain information relevant for predicting GNP growth, the bond market delivers more accurate predictions. The bond market predictions are compared to the forecasts of...

One version of the consumption-based asset pricing model implies a linear relation between expected returns and expected consumption growth. This paper provides evidence that the expected real term structure contains information that can be used to forecast consumption growth. The evidence is...

We propose a method for optimal portfolio selection using a Bayesian decision theoretic framework that addresses two major shortcomings of the Markowitz approach: the ability to handle higher moments and estimation error. We employ the skew normal distribution which has many attractive features...

Final working paper version. "" Published version: The Review of Financial Studies, Volume 31, Issue 7, July 2018, pp. 2499–2552. Past fund performance does a poor job of predicting future outcomes. The reason is noise. Using a random effects framework, we reduce the noise by pooling...

The internal rate of return is the prominent tool for measuring the performance of real estate asset and investment portfolios. However, it brings about some problems that make it unsatisfactory, such as (i) failing to capturing value added, (ii) being associated with implicit interim values...