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Global potential output growth has been flagging. At 2.5 percent in 2013-17, post-crisis potential growth is 0.5 percentage point below its longer-term average and 0.9 percentage point below its average a decade ago. Compared with a decade ago, potential growth has declined 0.8 percentage point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199524
Across the world, a structural growth slowdown is underway: at current trends, the global potential growth rate - the maximum rate at which an economy can grow without igniting inflation - is expected to fall to a three-decade low over the remainder of the 2020s. The slowdown could be even more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014282834
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada, the United States, Germany, and Japan). We employ a dynamic small open economy business cycle model that incorporates a household production sector. We use the model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825641
We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839326
Extensive research has demonstrated the existence of large potential welfare gains from trade facilitation - measures to reduce the overall costs of the international movement of goods. From an equity perspective an important question is how those benefits are distributed across and within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010127883
Against the background of continued growth disappointments, depressed inflation expectations, and declining real equilibrium interest rates, a number of central banks have implemented negative interest rate policies (NIRP) to provide additional monetary policy stimulus over the past few years....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011558530
We review the large literature on various economic policies that could help developing economies effectively manage the process of financial globalization. Our central findings indicate that policies promoting financial sector development, institutional quality, and trade openness appear to help...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025737
"The book, published on the occasion of International Trade Centre's 50th anniversary, traces the history of the organization since its inception in 1964 - reflects on five decades of global growth and illustrates how the world economy is rebalancing; identifies and analyses the three major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228859
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