Showing 1 - 8 of 8
The conventional momentum strategy performs poorly overall in China, because stock prices behave very differently when markets are open for trading versus when they are closed. Stocks that are past intraday (overnight) winners persistently outperform those that are past intraday (overnight)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352273
Investor recognition affects cross-sectional stock returns. In informationally incomplete markets, investors have limited recognition of all securities, and their holding of stocks with low recognition requires compensation for being imperfectly diversified. Using the number of posts on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858695
Recent literature shows that momentum strategies exhibit significant downside risks over certain periods, or called "momentum crashes." We find that the high uncertainty of momentum strategies is sourced from the cross-sectional volatility of individual stocks. Stocks with high realised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841097
We develop a continuous-time asset price model to capture short-run momentum and long-run reversal. By studying a dynamic asset allocation problem, we derive the optimal investment strategy in closed form and show that the combined momentum and reversal strategies are optimal. We then estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006175
This paper challenges the prevailing view that investor sentiment is a contrarian predictor of market returns at nearly all horizons. As an important piece of "out-of-sample" evidence, we document that investor sentiment in China is a reliable momentum signal at monthly frequency. The strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960494
To capture the well documented time series momentum and reversal in asset price, we develop a continuous-time asset price model, derive the optimal investment strategy theoretically, and test the strategy empirically. We show that, by combining market fundamentals and timing opportunity with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962880
This paper documents a highly downward sloping security market line (SML) in China, which is more puzzling than the typical “flattened” SML in the US, and does not reconcile with existing theories of low-beta anomaly. We show that investor overconfidence offers some promises in resolving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850899
This study comprehensively evaluates and ranks a large number of competing explanations for the momentum anomaly. As a benchmark for evaluation, firm fundamentals are found to be the most promising among well-known explanations of momentum, followed by prospect theory and mental accounting, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227077