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The goal of this short communication is to give an overview of the key research issues in Enterprise Risk Management that arose during the talks and the brainstorming session of the first ERMII research workshop, which was held at ISFA, University of Lyon in June 2007. To define and compute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792036
La méthode dite des «simulations dans les simulations» (SdS) est à ce jour, pour les portefeuilles d'assurance-vie, une des méthodes de calcul du capital économique les plus conformes aux critères de Solvabilité II. Or cette approche conduit à des temps de calculs conséquents allant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792293
The goal of this paper is to obtain probabilistic representation formulas that are suitable for the numerical computation of the (possibly non-continuous) density functions of infima of reserve processes commonly used in insurance. In particular we show, using Monte Carlo simulations, that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792382
The classical risk model is considered and a sensitivity analysis of finite-time ruin probabilities is carried out. We prove the weak convergence of a sequence of empirical finite-time ruin probabilities. So-called partly shifted risk processes are introduced, and used to derive an explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792404
The present paper aims to point out how the stationary-excess operator and its iterates transform the s-convex stochastic orders and the associated moment spaces. This allows us to propose a new unified method on constructing s-convex extrema for distributions that are known to be t-monotone....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792471
Two approaches may be considered in order to determine the Solvency II economic capital: the use of a standard formula or the use of an internal model (global or partial). However, the results produced by these two methods are rarely similar, since the underlying hypothesis of marginal capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792504
This paper is concerned with the problem of ruin in the classical compound binomial and compound Poisson risk models. Our primary purpose is to extend to those models an exact formula derived by Picard and Lefèvre (1997) for the probability of (non-)ruin within finite time. First, a standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792658
For general risk processes, the expected time-integrated negative part of the process on a fixed time interval is introduced and studied. Differentiation theorems are stated and proved. They make it possible to derive the expected value of this risk measure, and to link it with the average total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793010
We consider a main insurance company with K subcompanies (or lines of busi- ness). The joint evolution of the surpluses of these lines of business is modeled by a Markov-modulated multivariate compound Poisson model with Poisson common shocks, modified by interactions between the lines of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793316
We explain why correlation crises may occur in insurance and finance. These phenomena are not taken into account in Solvency II standard formula. We show the importance of taking them into account in internal models or partial internal models. Given the variety of scenarios that could lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793576