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Market clichés assert that markets take escalators up and elevators down. The observation suggests differentiating models for up and down moves. Non-diffusive models allow for this and we model the move as the difference of two independent mean reverting increasing processes driven by gamma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959879
Learning the pre limited liability value process of equity claims and its relationship to the stock price is an answer to the financial jeorpardy question when observed option prices are the answer being given by the market. Constant dollar equity holder values, prior to the imposition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004139
No arbitrage for two price economies with no locally risk free asset implies that suitably deflated prices are nonlinear martingales. However, both the deflating process and the measure change depend on the process being deflated. Further assumptions allow the nonlinear martingales in discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998891
Multivariate return distributions consistent with bilateral gamma marginals are formulated and termed multivariate bilateral gamma (MBG). Tail probability distances and Wasserstein Distances between return data, model simulations and their squares evaluate model performance. A full Gaussian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834626
Financial returns at unit time are modeled as non-Gaussian limit laws. They may reflect random walks or additive processes reflecting some predictability. Mixtures of these two constructions are formulated and estimated on one minute data. It is observed that the random walk fraction is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834627
Demand and supply uncertainty lead to market models setting prices to levels of acceptable risk for excess supplies and net revenues. The result is a two price equilibrium. Equilibrium solutions applied to financial market data infer demand and supply elasticities and log normal volatilities....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095796
Return distributions in the class of pure jump limit laws are observed to reflect numerous asymmetries between the upward and downward motions of asset prices. The return distributions are modeled by self decomposable parametric laws with all parameters continuously responding to each other....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925532
When demands and supplies are uncertain, given the prices, equilibrium cannot be defined by equating them. New equilibria are then formed on modeling markets as the abstract risk taking agent. The theory of acceptable risks is applied to redefine economic equilibrium. The market sets two prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837724