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A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197367
Market clichés assert that markets take escalators up and elevators down. The observation suggests differentiating models for up and down moves. Non-diffusive models allow for this and we model the move as the difference of two independent mean reverting increasing processes driven by gamma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959879
Prudent upper and lower valuations from the literature on arbitrage free two price economies provide risk characteristics driving required returns. The risk characteristics assess the risk of price fluctuations. The difference between the upper and lower prudent valuations can be viewed as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962578
Asset returns are modeled by bilateral gamma processes with zero covariations. Covariances are then observed to be consequences of randomness in variations. Support vector machine regressions on prices are employed to model the implied randomness. The contributions of support vector machine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943431
Portfolios are designed to maximize a conservative market value or bid price for the portfolio. Theoretically this bid price is modeled as reflecting a convex cone of acceptable risks supporting an arbitrage free equilibrium of a two price economy. When risk acceptability is completely defined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018790
We show that nonlinearly discounted nonlinear martingales are related to no arbitrage in two price economies as linearly discounted martingales were related to no arbitrage in economies satisfying the law of one price. Furthermore, assuming risk acceptability requires a positive physical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056517
Statistical theory has been relatively absent in the exercise of estimating parameters of an option pricing model from cross-sectional data at a fixed point of calendar time. The cross-sectional data typically consists of prices for options at various strikes and maturities at market close. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064348
For underlying asset motions calibrating skewness and kurtosis beyond the volatility it becomes possible to consider these entities as responding to their observations in past data. Models with stochastic skewness and kurtosis are constructed by allowing the second, third and fourth power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306938
Corporations are viewed as perpetual derivatives securities with cash flows defined by deterministic functions of state variables. In time homogeneous and Markovian contexts the valuation of corporate is given by a deterministic function of the state variables. The resulting value function...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228378
Two price economy principles motivate measuring risk by the cost of acquiring the opposite of the centered or pure risk position at its upper price. Asymmetry in returns leads to differences in risk charges for short and long positions. Short risk charges dominate long ones when the upper tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220170