We investigate the impact of monetary policy shocks on excess corporate bonds returns. We obtain a significant negative response of bond returns to policy shocks, which is especially strong among low-grading bonds. The largest portion of this response is related to higher expected bond returns...

We conduct a decomposition for the stock market return by incorporating the information from 124 macro variables. Using factor analysis, we estimate six common factors and run a VAR containing these factors and financial variables such as the market dividend yield and the T-bill rate. Including...

We show that economic activity plays an important role in explaining momentum-based anomalies. A simple two-factor model containing the market and alternative indicators of economic activity as risk factors---industrial production, capacity utilization rate, retail sales, and a broad economic...

We estimate conditional multifactor models over a large cross-section of stock returns matching 25 CAPM anomalies. Using conditioning information associated with different instruments improves the performance of the Hou, Xue, and Zhang (2015, HXZ) and Fama and French (2015, 2016, FF) models. The...

We create a market-wide measure of dispersion in options investors' expectations by aggregating across all stocks the dispersion in trading volume across moneynesses (DISP). DISP exhibits strong negative predictive power for future market returns and its information content is not subsumed by...

We examine the predictive ability of the aggregate earnings yield for market returns and earnings growth by estimating variance decompositions at multiple horizons. Based on weighted long-horizon regressions, we find that most of the variation in the earnings yield is due to return...

In this paper, I examine whether stock return dispersion (RD) provides useful information about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at multiple horizons, and compares favorably with alternative predictors used in the literature. The out-of-sample...

We derive a macroeconomic asset pricing model in which the key factor is the opportunity cost of money. The results show that the model explains well the cross-section of stock returns in addition to the excess market return. The interest rate factor is priced and seems to drive most of the...

We examine the time-series risk-return trade-off among equity factors. We obtain a positive trade-off for profitability and investment factors. Such relationship subsists conditional on the covariance with the market factor, which represents consistency with Merton's ICAPM. Critically, we obtain...

We examine the time-series risk-return trade-off among equity factors. We obtain a positive trade-off for profitability and investment factors. Such relationship subsists conditional on the covariance with the market factor, which represents consistency with Merton's ICAPM. Critically, we obtain...