We trace the linkages between the episodes of fiscal expansion and consolidation in 72 advanced and emerging and developing economies. The findings suggest that fiscal expansions are positively associated with economic growth, which in turn is positively linked with better sustainable...

At a conceptual level, opening of capital markets entails a number of benefits and costs. One major cost of financial openness is output volatility. In this paper, using data from 21 advanced and 81 developing countries during 1971-2010, we empirically examine the impact of capital market...

The demographic dividend that contributed substantially to economic growth in developing Asia in the past is dissipating. Population aging affects growth through savings, capital accumulation, labor force participation, and total factor productivity. We examined the impact of aging on those four...

We perform simulations to assess the impact of a war between the US and Iran on global oil price behavior. To do so, we evaluate different levels of war intensity and oil price behavior from a multidimensional perspective. In this context, we simulate various scenarios using a simulator which is...

We perform simulations to assess the impact of a war between the US and Iran on global oil price behavior. To do so, we evaluate different levels of war intensity and oil price behavior from a multidimensional perspective. In this context, we simulate various scenarios using a simulator which is...

This paper introduces a new economic model of a wartime economy, the war economic capability model – WEC-Model. The WEC-Model assesses the economic impacts of countries thorough the possible scenario of war in three different stages: (i) initial conflict and diplomatic negotiations; (ii)...

This research work applies the terrorist attack vulnerability evaluation model (TAVEModel) to evaluate the effect of terrorism on the economic performance of Turkey. We examine both the short run and long-run economic impact of terrorist attacks in Turkey. The TAVE-Model applies a number of...