This study examines if business confidence and consumer confidence can explain variability of stock market returns across countries. Based on the analysis of monthly time series cross-sectional (panel) data from 31 countries, the results show that stock market return goes up by an average of 154...

This paper is set up to dissect the covariance patterns of the returns on the commodity and equity markets. Analyzing monthly return data from 1970:M1 to 2013M7, the results show that returns on the commodity and equity markets co-vary weakly in the opposite direction (r=-0.12) in the 1970s,...

This paper analyses how stock returns on the U.S. manufacturing industry respond to raw materials price shock. Using monthly excess return data of the U.S. manufacturing industry and the percentage change of the U.S. raw materials price commodity index from 1960:M2 to 2012:M12, the vector auto...

This paper examines the effects of business and consumer confidence on stock market returns. Based on the analysis of monthly data from thirty-one countries, the results show that business and consumer confidence has a positive effect on stock market returns. The findings reveal that change in...

This study investigates the joint explanation and impact of economic growth, equity market performance and economic growth uncertainty on foreign participation (using net inflows from equity securities held by foreign investors as a proxy) in local equity market. Based on the analysis of...

This study analyzes stock market performance in 70 countries to determine if return in month T-1 is useful for forecasting return in the current month. The analysis of full sample shows that the average return in each of the preceding months is useful for forecasting return in the respective...

The purpose of the present study is to provide further empirical evidence of the January and size effects on stock returns. The data used in this study are monthly stock returns, shares outstanding, and prices of all the stocks listed on the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ. The data of monthly stock...

This study investigates how returns on the S&P 500 index respond orthogonally to dividend yield and price-to-earnings innovations. The unrestricted vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis of monthly data from 1871 to 2012 shows that the response of returns on the S&P 500 index to dividend yield...

This study analyzes stock market performance in 70 countries to determine which months generate higher returns and which months exhibit lower returns. Results from numerical analyses and t-tests show that returns are significantly higher in January, February, April, July and December relative to...

This study examines the extent to which long-term private sector external debt impacts stock market return across 26 emerging and frontier markets. The results indicate a statistically significant, positive relationship (r = 0.527, p 0.01) between the average long-term private sector external...