This paper investigates the robustness of hindsight bias in experimental asset markets, the time invariance of the different experimental risk elicitation methods of certainty equivalents and binary lottery choices, and their correspondence.

Parimutuel betting markets are simplified financial markets, andcan thus provide a clearer view of pricing issues which are more complicatedelsewhere. Though empirical studies generally conclude thatthe parimutuel betting markets are surprisingly efficient, it is alsofound that for horses with...

In this paper we relate individual risk attitude as elicited by binary lotteriesand certainty equivalents to market behavior. By analyzing 26 independentmarkets with a total of 280 participants we show that binary lottery choicesand certainty equivalents are poorly correlated. Only lottery...

This paper investigates (i) the robustness of hindsight bias in experimental assetmarkets, (ii) the time invariance of the different experimental risk elicitationmethods of certainty equivalents and binary lottery choices, and (iii) their correspondence.The results of our within-subjects...

Forbes and Rigobon (2002) claim there was no contagion among international stock markets duringthe 1997 Asian crisis, with contagion being defined as an increase in dependence. We revisit thisissue using a more robust methodology based on copula. After controlling for heteroskedasticitywith the...

We show that a simple equilibrium model with uncertain growth is able to simultaneously generate patterns in implied volatility and risk aversion that are similar to the ones observed in the data. In addition, the model produces an implied pricing kernel that is increasing for particular levels...

We solve analytically the Merton's problem of an investor with time-additive power utility. For general state dynamics, we prove existence of two power series representations of the relevant optimal policies and value functions, which hold for all admissible risk aversion parameters. We...

Few areas of monetary economics have been studied as extensively as the transmission mechanism. The literature on this topic has evolved substantially over the years, following the waxing and waning of conceptual frameworks and the changing characteristics of the financial system. In this paper,...

In a Lucas orchard with heterogeneous beliefs, we study the link between market-wide uncertainty, difference of opinionsand co-movement of stock returns. We show that this link plays an important role in explaining the dynamics of equilibriumvolatility and correlation risk premia. In our...

The behaviour of market agents has always been extensively covered in the literature. Risk averse behaviour, described by von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944) via a concave utility function, is considered to be a cornerstone of classical economics. Agents prefer a fixed profit over uncertain...