We investigate the relationship between changing correlation structure of returns, security risk, and mean return. According to our results, securities that were highly correlated with the market-wide risk factors in the past are likely to have high systematic and idiosyncratic risk at present....

This paper estimates how the shape of the implied volatility smile and the size of the variance risk premium relate to parameters of GARCH-type time-series models measuring how conditional volatility responds to return shocks. Markets in which return shocks lead to large increases in conditional...

A Bayesian approach to option pricing is presented, in which posterior inference about the underlying returns process is conducted implicitly, via observed option prices. A range of models which allow for conditional leptokurtosis, skewness and time-varying volatility in returns, are considered,...

This paper investigates the day of the week effect in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) General Index over a ten year period divided into two subperiods: 1995-2000 and 2001-2004. Five major indices are also considered: Banking, Insurance, and Miscellaneous for the first subperiod, and FTSE-20 and...

Monthly seasonality in the stock prices returns is among the best known calendar anomalies that affect the capital markets. The knowledge about such calendar patterns could be exploited in building successful investment strategies. However, it was revealed that not all the calendar anomalies...

This paper explores Month-of-the-year effects in returns and in volatilities of the Bucharest Stock Exchange. Our investigation covers two periods: the first one, from January 2000 to January 2006, corresponds to the last stage of Romania’s transition to a capitalist system, while the second...

We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...

This paper aims to empirically investigate the effect of the euro on stock markets for Hungary, Poland and the UK, and also the co-movement of the stock prices with the euro-zone using the daily stock price indices. The result reveals that in order to develop the emerging stock markets, exchange...

Este trabajo investiga el comportamiento de los precios en el mercado eléctrico español durante el período de liberalización (entre el 29 de junio de 2001 y el 1 de mayo de 2007). El documento tiene un doble objetivo: por un lado, realizar un análisis descriptivo del comportamiento de las...

In this paper the realized daily variance is obtained from intraday transaction prices of the S&P 500 cash index over the period from January 1993 to December 2004. When constructing realized daily variance, market microstructure noise is taken into account using a technique proposed by Zhang,...