Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This paper proposes an intuitive definition of status quo that is model-free and given in terms of observable choices only. We do not rationalize status quo-dependent preferences, to the contrary, we show that models of decision under ambiguity already predict behavioral phenomena ascribed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010736702
This paper analyzes preferences in the presence of ambiguity that are rational in the sense of satisfying the classical ordering condition as well as monotonicity. Under technical conditions that are natural in an Anscombe-Aumann environment, we show that even for such general preference model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784406
This paper considers local and global multiple-prior representations of ambiguity for preferences that are (i) monotonic, (ii) Bernoullian, i.e. admit an affine utility representation when restricted to constant acts, and (iii) locally Lipschitz continuous. We do not require either Certainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553160
This paper studies the dependence between coupled lives - both within and across generations - and its effects on prices of reversionary annuities in the presence of longevity risk. Longevity risk is represented via a stochastic mortality intensity. Dependence is modelled through copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555103
We study and calibrate a cohort-based model which captures the characteristics of a mortality surface with a parsimonious, continuous-time fac- tor approach. The model allows for imperfect correlation of mortality intensity across generations. It is implemented on UK data for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601975
This paper provides a multiple-priors representation of ambiguous beliefs à la Ghirardato, Maccheroni, and Marinacci (2004) and Nehring (2002) for any preference that is (i) monotonic, (ii) Bernoullian, i.e. admits an affine utility representation when restricted to constant acts, and (iii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008475935
This paper axiomatizes an intertemporal version of the Smooth Ambiguity decision model developed in Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005). A key feature of the model is that it achieves a separation between ambiguity, identified as a characteristic of the decision maker's subjective beliefs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181140
The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405554
In this paper we use doubly stochastic processes (or Cox processes) in order to model the random evolution of mortality of an individual. These processes have been widely used in the credit risk literature in modelling default arrival, and in this context have proved to be quite flexible,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094052
Stochastic mortality, i.e. modelling death arrival via a jump process with stochastic intensity, is gaining increasing reputation as a way to rep- resent mortality risk. This paper represents a .rst attempt to model the mortality risk of couples of individuals, according to the stochastic inten-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094084