One of the most popular investment anecdotes relates how Isaac Newton, after cashing in some large early gains, staked his fortune on the success of the South Sea Company of 1720 and lost heavily in the ensuing crash. However, this tale is based on only a few scraps of hard evidence, some of...

We measure investors' short- and long-term stock-return expectations using both options and survey data. These expectations at different horizons reveal what investors think their own short-term expectations will be in the future, or forward return expectations. While contemporaneous short-term...

Nowadays, the social media play a central role not only in "de-asymmetrizing" the information between firms and investors but also in influencing the emotional response to this information. The social media have provided firms with the opportunity to construct their image and stimulate...

This research paper aim to examine the profitability of various kinds of oscillator used in technical analysis on market index of NSE (National Stock Exchange) S&P CNX NIFTY 50 during 2004-2014. We have selected the most commonly used three oscillators i.e., Stochastic oscillator, RSI Oscillator...

It is generally accepted that excessive exuberance or gloom in investor sentiment contributes to booms and crashes in asset prices but, because of its complex interaction with other aspects of the valuation process, these effects are not easy to identify with statistical confidence and this...

We show that immediate and delayed abnormal returns following earnings announcement surprises differ across market states. Immediate abnormal returns are more sensitive to earnings surprises in down markets, while delayed abnormal returns are less sensitive; underreaction is attenuated in down...

We propose a measure of investors' climate sentiment by performing sentiment analysis on StockTwits posts on climate change and global warming. We find that when investors' climate sentiment is high, emission stocks are relatively overpriced. Moreover, we show that an increase in carbon prices...

This paper introduces endogenous preference evolution into a Lucas-type economy and explores its consequences for investors' trading strategy and the dynamics of asset prices. In equilibrium, investors herd and hold the same portfolio of risky assets which is biased toward stocks of sectors that...