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ETFs attract a larger proportion of institutional investors than do the underlying markets. The price of an ETF will deviate from the price of the underlying, if institutional investors are less prone to investor sentiment-driven mispricing, than are retail investors. We employ a unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832726
Stock momentum, long-term reversal, and other past return characteristics that predict future returns also predict future realized betas, suggesting these characteristics capture time-varying risk compensation. We formalize this argument with a conditional factor pricing model. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832984
The extent to which financial analysts provide ‘herd' rather than ‘bold' (or anti-herd) earnings forecasts has important implications for market efficiency. Identifying any contributing factor(s) for financial analyst herding behavior can lead to policies to help reduce such harmful conduct....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833171
How do retail investors respond to the outbreak of COVID-19? We use transaction-level trading data to show that investors significantly increase their trading activities as the COVID-19 pandemic unfolds, both at the extensive and at the intensive margin. Investors, on average, increase their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835449
I study the market for lending and borrowing securities in the United States. I find that by making securities available for borrowing, mutual funds acquire information about short selling, which they exploit for trading. Funds with discretion in their investment choices rebalance their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311898
Recent evidence shows that investor sentiment is a contrarian predictor of stock returns with speculative stocks earning lower (higher) future returns than safe stocks following high (low) sentiment states. We extend this argument by conditioning expected stock returns on sentiment dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932843
Measures of information traditionally arise from curated, professional sources such as newspapers, analyst coverage, earnings announcements, and business news wires. We utilize Twitter activity to examine the impact of attention generated by individuals. Causal evidence shows that Twitter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933358
Momentum strategies suffer from occasional large drawdowns referred to as momentum crashes when the market rebounds. This paper documents that stocks far from peaks outperform stocks near peaks, and momentum crashes are attributable to such outperformance. Market rebounds triggers increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934906
Corporate loans increasingly have become an important part of portfolio management with the advent of a liquid and transparent secondary market. This paper examines the pricing of characteristics and betas in the cross-section of expected loan returns. Expected loan returns decrease with default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937224
We provide strong evidence that the dispersion of individual stock options trading volume across moneynesses (IDISP) contains valuable information about future stock returns. Stocks with high IDISP consistently underperform those with low IDISP by more than 1% per month. In line with the idea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937333