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risk of crashes in other stocks (or indices). Our paper explicitly takes this contagion risk into account and studies its … investor significantly adjusts his portfolio when contagion is more likely to occur. Capturing the time dimension of contagion … portfolio decisions. Investors ignoring contagion completely or accounting for contagion while ignoring its time dimension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764762
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This paper shows that preferences alone cannot explain the patterns reported in the literature.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005843337
We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
What determines risk-bearing capacity and the amount of leverage in financial markets? Using unique archival data on collateralized lending, we show that personal experience can affect individual risk-taking and aggregate leverage. When an investor syndicate speculating in Amsterdam in 1772 went...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282480
We report results of an internet experiment designed to test the theory of informational cascades in financial markets (Avery and Zemsky, AER, 1998). More than 6000 subjects, including a subsample of 267 consultants from an international consulting firm, participated in the experiment. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263070
We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors in order to study the causal relationship between investors' mood and subsequent stock price changes. In contrast to extant literature for other countries, a tri-variate vector autoregression for short-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263537
We study the effect of team decision-making on bubbles and crashes in experimental asset markets of the kind introduced by Smith, Suchanek and Williams (1988). We find that populating such markets with teams of size two instead of individuals significantly reduces the severity of mispricing. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269599
We use weekly survey data on short-term and medium-term sentiment of German investors to estimate the parameters of a stochastic model of opinion dynamics. The bivariate nature of our data set also allows us to explore the interaction between the two hypothesized opinion formation processes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269717
High-frequency financial data are characterized by a set of ubiquitous statistical properties that prevail with surprising uniformity. While these 'stylized facts' have been well-known for decades, attempts at their behavioral explanation have remained scarce. However, recently a new branch of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273169