Showing 1 - 8 of 8
We propose a flexible stochastic framework for modeling the market share dynamics over time in a multiple markets setting, where firms interact within and between markets. Firms undergo stochastic idiosyncratic shocks, which contract their shares, and compete to consolidate their position by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320156
This paper studies the dependence between coupled lives - both within and across generations - and its effects on prices of reversionary annuities in the presence of longevity risk. Longevity risk is represented via a stochastic mortality intensity. Dependence is modelled through copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555103
We study and calibrate a cohort-based model which captures the characteristics of a mortality surface with a parsimonious, continuous-time fac- tor approach. The model allows for imperfect correlation of mortality intensity across generations. It is implemented on UK data for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601975
The study of properties of mean functionals of random probability measures is an important area of research in the theory of Bayesian nonparametric statistics. Many results are known by now for random Dirichlet means but little is known, especially in terms of posterior distributions, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518899
An important issue in survival analysis is the investigation and the modeling of hazard rates. Within a Bayesian nonparametric framework, a natural and popular approach is to model hazard rates as kernel mixtures with respect to a completely random measure. In this paper we provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518910
The present paper provides a review of the results concerning distributional properties of means of random probability measures. Our interest in this topic has originated from inferential problems in Bayesian Nonparametrics. Nonetheless, it is worth noting that these random quantities play an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518912
In this paper we use doubly stochastic processes (or Cox processes) in order to model the random evolution of mortality of an individual. These processes have been widely used in the credit risk literature in modelling default arrival, and in this context have proved to be quite flexible,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094052
Stochastic mortality, i.e. modelling death arrival via a jump process with stochastic intensity, is gaining increasing reputation as a way to rep- resent mortality risk. This paper represents a .rst attempt to model the mortality risk of couples of individuals, according to the stochastic inten-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094084