Showing 1 - 8 of 8
This paper studies the dependence between coupled lives - both within and across generations - and its effects on prices of reversionary annuities in the presence of longevity risk. Longevity risk is represented via a stochastic mortality intensity. Dependence is modelled through copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555103
We study and calibrate a cohort-based model which captures the characteristics of a mortality surface with a parsimonious, continuous-time fac- tor approach. The model allows for imperfect correlation of mortality intensity across generations. It is implemented on UK data for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010601975
We define and investigate a new class of measure-valued Markov chains by resorting to ideas formulated in Bayesian nonparametrics related to the Dirichlet process and the Gibbs sampler. Dependent random probability measures in this class are shown to be stationary and ergodic with respect to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518900
The paper proposes a new nonparametric prior for two-dimensional vectors of survival functions (S1,S2). The definition we introduce is based on the notion of Lévy copula and it will be used to model, in a nonparametric Bayesian framework, two-sample survival data. Such an application will yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518902
A Bayesian nonparametric methodology has been recently proposed in order to deal with the issue of prediction within species sampling problems. Such problems concern the evaluation, conditional on a sample of size n, of the species variety featured by an additional sample of size m. Genomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518906
A random distribution function on the positive real line which belongs to the class of neutral to the right priors is defined. It corresponds to the superposition of independent beta processes at the cumulative hazard level. The definition is constructive and starts with a discrete time process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518909
In this paper we use doubly stochastic processes (or Cox processes) in order to model the random evolution of mortality of an individual. These processes have been widely used in the credit risk literature in modelling default arrival, and in this context have proved to be quite flexible,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094052
Stochastic mortality, i.e. modelling death arrival via a jump process with stochastic intensity, is gaining increasing reputation as a way to rep- resent mortality risk. This paper represents a .rst attempt to model the mortality risk of couples of individuals, according to the stochastic inten-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094084