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The last decades have shown a tendency towards higher central bank transparency. It became customary for central bankers to explain their monetary policy decisions in detail and for them to publish inflation forecasts. This leads to the question of how central bank transparency is entangled with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525911
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991347
In a recent paper, Atkeson and Kehoe (2004) demonstrated the lack of a robust empirical relationship between inflation and growth for a cross-section of countries with 19th and 20th century data, concluding that the historical evidence only provides weak support for the contention that deflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729476
For over a decade of practicing inflation targeting (IT) strategy, inflation has remained high and persistent while economic growth momentum has boosted in Ghana. This paper investigates the relative macroeconomic benefits of the IT strategy in Ghana based on business cycle fluctuations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093032
We address this question by examining the conditional dynamics of inflation and output growth in response to markup shocks for 14 industrialized countries. Markup shocks create a trade-off between output gap and inflation stabilization purposes, and the theory predicts that conditional on such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095590
Following Driscoll and Holden (2004), I model forward-looking workers who consider it unfair if a wage adjustment fails to match past inflation. However, the present paper proposes a much larger effect by using the job finding rate as the measure of workers' opportunities outside the firm rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010379902
Inflation volatility is clearly important for structural analysis, forecasting and policy purposes, yet it is often overlooked in the literature. This paper compares inflation volatility among advanced open economies with inflation targeting monetary policy frameworks. The results of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827759
Empirical studies of the global liquidity spillover on Indonesia's economy are still relatively limited. Most of the global contagion literature on Indonesia's economy focuses only on the effects of real shock (on output) due to financial shock. We assert that the effect of global output on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799838
I create a model where interest rates are rigid, but aggregate prices are flexible. As a result, changes in real interest rates lead to changes to inflation in the opposite direction. I conclude that this is how credit crunches and monetary tightening reduce inflation. I simulate different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006391