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Earlier studies in the finance literature show that macroeconomic fundamentals can predict excess bond returns. We employ a multi-level factor model to estimate global and sectoral factors separately and show that (i)the real factors possess most important predictive power existing in the panel;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014361597
for bonds. For the stock market we used realized returns and estimated the role of the green factor in the yield using the … individual companies. Using data on a number of green bonds and their chosen “twin” bonds, we calculate the difference in the … premium in the yield to maturity over that of a similar government bond for all pairs of “twin” bonds and proceed to check if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235981
We analyze four years of transaction data for euro-area sovereign bonds traded on the MTS electronic platform. In order … results confirm that trades of more recently issued bonds and longer maturity bonds have a greater permanent effect on prices …. We compare the price impact of trades for bonds across different maturity categories and find that trades of French and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134571
Real-time macroeconomic data reflect the information available to market participants, whereas final data's containing revisions and released with a delays' overstate the information set available to them. We document that the in-sample and out-of-sample Treasury return predictability is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009664082
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
This paper provides an innovative theoretical model and empirical evidence for how the illiquidity of corporate bonds … pronounced for bonds with lower market sensitivity and for firms with higher degrees of information uncertainty and operating in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828305
strategy. Calibrating our model to a unique data set of about 880,000 early exercises in non-tradable putable bonds over a time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937780
This paper analyzes the nominal yields of UK gilt-edged securities ("gilts") based on a Keynesian perspective, which holds that the short-term interest rate is the primary driver of the long-term interest rate. Quarterly data are used to model gilts' nominal yields. These models bring to light...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291941
characteristics of bonds. Overall, our results imply a beneficial role of CDS in the bond market as the existence of mispricing … between CDS and bonds results in a subsequent price convergence in bonds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905048
the yields of Euro-area central government bonds. The empirical analysis shows that investors demand higher yields for … bonds with higher collateral haircuts. The importance of collateral haircuts on bond yields remains robust after controlling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851746