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Cross-firm predictability among economically linked firms can arise when both firms exhibit own-momentum and their returns are contemporaneously correlated. We show that cross-firm predictability can last up to 10 years, which is hard to reconcile with an interpretation of slow information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856717
We show that stock prices underreact when there is a political event, reflected in higher momentum returns. We conjecture that political news crowds out stock news cause investors to distract, trade more indexes and underreact to firm specific news. We analyze momentum returns following general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862184
Most papers, that study determinants of cryptocurrency prices, find no significant relation with existing market factors. We examine a portfolio approach to explore cross-sectional pricing within the cryptomarket. At its inception, Bitcoin meant to be an alternative to fiat currencies. Yet high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837468
This paper adopts a versatile multivariate conditional correlation model to estimate daily seasonality in the returns, the volatility, and the correlations between stocks, bonds, gold and Bitcoin. Besides the well known seasonality in stocks and bonds, the day-of-the-week effect is also present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839971
We apply machine learning techniques and use stock characteristics to predict the cross-section of stock returns in 33 international markets. We conduct a stringent out-of-sample test to examine concerns about overfitting: the models are trained with past U.S. data and used to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846699
A unified explanation of risk and mispricing in stock returns underpinned by their aggregate liquidity risk is presented. We argue alternating liquidity exposures depict two distinct investment preferences-hedging against aggregate liquidity risk or betting on it. A three-factor model capturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847658
Because of the adaptive nature of position sizing, trend-following strategies can generate the positive skewness of their returns, when infrequent large gains compensate overall for frequent small losses. Further, trend-followers can produce the positive convexity of their returns with respect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920746
Because dividends are taxed at a higher rate than capital gains, as stock with a higher yields should have a higher expected return than a stock whose return is expected to result mostly from price appreciation. Adding yield to the traditional Security Market Line results in a "market plane"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928355
Many articles show how portfolio composition depends on the investment horizon. Typically, they conclude that portfolio composition changes in a simple way as the investment horizon lengthens.Gunthorpe and Levy [1994] is a superior example. It presents the case for a simple relationship clearly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928779
A widespread concern in the investment industry is whether commonly used investment management fee arrangements encourage investment managers to act in their clients' interests. The value to managers of a one-period call performance fee is maximized by maximizing performance volatility. This is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929879