Recently, Ross (2015) showed that the real-world probability distribution of a discrete Markovian state variable can be recovered from observed option prices. The so-called recovery theorem follows from Perron-Frobenius matrix theory when the pricing kernel is transition independent. In this...

I document that the term structure of one-period expected returns on dividend-claims is counter-cyclical: it is downward sloping in good times, but upward sloping in bad times. The counter-cyclical variation is consistent with theories of long-run risk and habit, but these theories cannot...

We estimate a discrete approximation of the risk-return trade-off for the US market by using the whole universe of stocks from July 1963 to September 2017. We find the relationship between return and risk to be time-varying and also dependent on the level of risk considered. The proposed...

I show that increased turnover accompanies changes in stocks' risk exposures. A one standard deviation decrease in a stock's market beta increases turnover as much as 25%. The sensitivity of turnover to beta changes has grown over time. Market beta changes explain as much as 5% of the monthly...

Rational expectation models generally suggest that assets with more exposure to systematic risks should carry higher risk premia. However, several empirical findings challenge this result. I propose a novel generalized recursive smooth aversion model that allows agents to show different levels...

Most papers, that study determinants of cryptocurrency prices, find no significant relation with existing market factors. We examine a portfolio approach to explore cross-sectional pricing within the cryptomarket. At its inception, Bitcoin meant to be an alternative to fiat currencies. Yet high...

We obtain a unique dataset to examine the effect of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program, which allows foreign investors from Hong Kong to buy stocks listed in Shanghai (northbound) and domestic investors from mainland China to buy stocks listed in Hong Kong (southbound). There is a...

In a 2001 interview in Forbes, Warren Buffett suggested that the ratio of the market value of publicly traded stocks to economic output could identify potential equity market mispricings. This paper investigates the return-predictive characteristics of the market value of equity-to-gross...

All too often, measuring statistical dependencies between financial time series is reduced to a linear correlation coefficient. However, this may not capture all facets of reality. This paper studies empirical dependencies of daily stock returns by their pairwise copulas. We investigate in...

This study examines listing day performance of IPOs, book-built and fixed-price IPOs, post-listing aftermarket performance of IPOs, book-built and fixed-price IPOs in the Indian stock market. We examine pricing as well as long run performance of 464 (365 book-built IPOs and 99 fixed-price IPOs)...