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crisis started in October 2009. We perform a bivariate test for contagion that is based on an approach proposed by Forbes and … and industrialized countries. Our results indicate that there were periods of contagion for CDS markets during the Greek … crash and their conclusion of no contagion, only interdependence. Especially for European countries we would instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316042
We provide a comprehensive analysis of the determinants of trading in the sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) market, using weekly data for single-name sovereign CDS from October 2008 to September 2015. We describe the anatomy of the sovereign CDS market, derive a law of motion for gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541398
The current paper studies equity markets for the contagion of squared index returns as a proxy for stock market … squared stock returns of all 35 stock indices studied. Empirical findings show the evidence of contagion during the global … financial crisis (GFC) and Euro Zone crisis (EZC). The intensity of contagion varies depending on its sources. This implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022043
This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms … propagation of shocks in euro's bond yield spreads shows almost no presence of shift-contagion. All the increases in correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527055
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
We use a Diamond/Dybvig-based model with two banks operating in separate regions connected by a common asset market in which banks and sophisticated depositors invest. We study the effect of a potential run (crisis) and subsequent fire sales on the asset price in both the crisis and no-crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433396
We investigate the risk of holding credit default swaps(CDS) in the trading book and compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm’s equity using a sample of CDS – stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period from March...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605014
Global bonds are international securities designed to be traded and settled efficiently in multiple markets. This paper studies global bonds to examine the effects of multimarket trading on corporate bond liquidity, prices, and the cost of debt. Using a sample of primary and secondary market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605258
This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data and alternative predictors. The candidate exchange rate predictors are drawn from (i) macroeconomic 'fundamentals', (ii) return/volatility of asset markets and (iii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271612
A new test for constant correlation is proposed. Based on the bivariate Student-t distribution, this test is derived as Lagrange multiplier (LM) test. Whereas most of the traditional tests (e.g. Jennrich, 1970, Tang, 1995 and Goetzmann, Li & Rouwenhorst, 2005) specify the unknown correlations as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273762