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Simulation estimators, such as indirect inference or simulated maximum likelihood, are successfully employed for estimating stochastic differential equations. They adjust for the bias (inconsistency) caused by discretization of the underlying stochastic process, which is in continuous time. The...
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In this paper we propose panel cointegration tests allowing for breaks and cross-section dependence based on the Continuos-Path Block bootstrap. Simulation evidence shows that the proposed panel tests have satisfactory size and power properties, hence improving considerably on asymptotic tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835454
We address the issue of estimation and inference in dependent nonstationary panels of small cross-section dimensions. The main conclusion is that the best results are obtained applying bootstrap inference to single-equation estimators. SUR estimators perform badly, or are even unfeasible, when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837469
A new non-causality test based on the notion of distance between ARMA models is proposed in this paper. The advantage of this test is that it can be used in possible integrated and cointegrated systems, without pre-testing for unit roots and cointegration. The Monte Carlo experiments indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008869266
In this paper we test for the existence of a long-run savings-investments relationship in 18 OECD economies over the period 1970-2007. Although individual modelling provides only very weak support to the hypothesis of a link between savings and investments, this cannot be ruled out as individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008683317
Stability tests for cointegrating coefficients are known to have very low power with small to medium sample sizes. In this paper we propose to solve this problem by extending the tests to dependent cointegrated panels through the stationary bootstrap. Simulation evidence shows that the proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623244
Several methods have been proposed in the last few years for evaluating uncertainty in forecasts produced by nonlinear econometric models. Some methods resort to Monte Carlo, while others resort to different simulation techniques. This work aims at comparing these methods by means of experiments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855245