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The existing empirical literature on the US federal revenue-expenditure nexus has had mixed findings. Amongst those papers presenting evidence in favor of causation running from taxes to expenditures, support for the conventional, Friedman-type tax-spend hypothesis is nearly ubiquitous. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724482
Do voters punish governments that introduce fiscal "austerity" measures? If so, does voter response vary according to the design (composition) of fiscal adjustments? What determines the timing of fiscal consolidations? The empirical literature on the political economy of fiscal adjustments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052149
breaks, the study finds evidence of a cointegration relation between the government revenues and spending. The results did … difficulties in financing its debts in the long run. Lastly, the short run and long run Granger causality results, while providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487675
This paper starts off explaining the arguments put forward to defend the need to reduce the State’s budgetary activity and minimize fiscal deficit in accordance with the institutionalized consensus reached under the Maastricht Treaty and the Stability and Growth Pact. Secondly, it sheds light...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010751611
Over the past several decades, public debt has increased substantially in many OECD countries, particularly in the aftermath of recessions. The extent of this increase and the resulting debt levels varied across countries, partly reflecting differences in average budget balances. Despite rising...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012801149
to 1993, using cointegration techniques and the direction of causality relationship in the long and short runs between … the variables through integrating the Error Correction Model (ECM) into the traditional Granger causality test. A Granger … non-causality test (due to Toda and Yamamoto) is also performed. Unit root tests have been applied in order to investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765920
We investigate state-dependent effects of fiscal multipliers and allow for endogenous sample splitting to determine whether the US economy is in a slack state. When the endogenized slack state is estimated as the period of the unemployment rate higher than about 12 percent, the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237148
We investigate state-dependent effects of fiscal multipliers and allow for endogenous sample splitting to determine whether the US economy is in a slack state. When the endogenized slack state is estimated as the period of the unemployment rate higher than about 12 percent, the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621106
In this paper we use structural VAR model to analyze dynamic effects of fiscal shocks on economic activity in Croatia from 2000Q1-2012Q2. Due to the fact that Croatia is a small open economy we assume that shocks of foreign origination can have notable effects on its performance. Therefore,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011006969
Measuring the effects of discretionary fiscal policy is both difficult and controversial, as some explicit or implicit identifying assumptions need to be made to isolate exogenous and unanticipated changes in taxes and government spending. Studies based on structural vector autoregressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051893