It is a well-known fact that financial returns exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity and fat tails. While the GARCH-type models are very popular in depicting the conditional heteroscedasticity, the α-stable distribution is a natural candidate for the conditional distribution of financial...

Financial returns exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity, asymmetric responses of their volatility to negative and positive returns (leverage effects) and fat tails. The α-stable distribution is a natural candidate for capturing the tail-thickness of the conditional distribution of financial...

Financial returns exhibit common behavior described at best by factor models, but also fat tails, which may be captured by stable distributions. This paper concentrates on estimating factor models with multivariate stable distributed and independent latent factors and idiosyncratic noises under...

This paper proposes a new method of forecasting realized volatilities by exploiting their common dynamics within a latent factor model. The main idea is to use an additive component structure to describe the long-persistence in their autocorrelation function, where the components, extracted from...

In this paper we introduce a new method of forecasting covariance matrices of large dimensions by exploiting the theoretical and empirical potential of using mixed-frequency sampled data. The idea is to use high-frequency (intraday) data to model and forecast daily realized volatilities combined...

The recent financial crisis has raised numerous questions about the accuracy of value-at-risk (VaR) as a tool to quantify extreme losses. In this paper we develop data-driven VaR approaches that are based on the principle of optimal combination and that provide robust and precise VaR forecasts...

The asymptotic efficiency of the indirect estimation methods, such as the efficient method of moments and indirect inference, depends on the choice of the auxiliary model. Up to date, this choice is somehow ad hoc and based on an educated guess of the researcher. In this article we develop three...