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based on the consideration of uncertainty, both for discount rates derived from social welfare functions, and for those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240424
Ramsey formula, uncertainty about the future rate of growth in per capita consumption can lead to a declining consumption … rate of discount, assuming that shocks to consumption are positively correlated. This uncertainty in future consumption … uncertainty about the mean rate of growth in mean consumption or its volatility. Determining the remaining parameters of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010642997
Should governments, in discounting the future benefits and costs of public projects, use a discount rate that declines over time? The argument for a declining discount rate is a simple one: if the discount rates that will be applied in the future are persistent, and if the analyst can assign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010584178
attention to the social discount rate and how to treat uncertainty at both the project and economy-wide levels. There follows an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641337
Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economic standard model. I show that a … comprehensive evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the … and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488887
For two independent principles of intergenerational equity, the implied discount rate equals the growth rate of real per capita income, say, 2%, thus falling right into the range suggested by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget. To prove this, we develop a simple tool to evaluate small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294162
Conventional cost-benefit analysis incorporates the normally reasonable assumption that the policy or project under examination is marginal in the sense that it will not significantly change relative prices. In particular, it is assumed that the policy or project does not change the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744993
Conventional benefit–cost analysis incorporates the normally reasonable assumption that the policy or project under examination is marginal. Among the assumptions this entails is that the policy or project is small, so the underlying growth rate of the economy does not change. However, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718797
differences between the two rates. In addition, we indicate that uncertainty about underlying ethical parameters or market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010570334
There is much disagreement about the discount rate. The prescriptive approach derives the discount rate from utility functions, growth models and ethical considerations. The descriptive approach stresses the opportunity cost of capital, but struggles to define which market rates to average. Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010822357