This volume – Predicting Crisis: Five Essays on the Mathematic Prediction of Economic and Social Crises – is the first …

A “lost decade” refers to an extended period of low or negative growth triggered by an economic crisis and that could … have been avoided by the use of efficient crisis policies. The risk to the world’s developed economies of a lost decade was … highlighted early on in the 2007-2008 crisis. Now, five years on from the severe recession of 2009, the risk appears much more of …

recent global liquidity crisis and, in particular, the quant event of 2007. …

Abstract Starting from some of the most recent literature developed after the world financial crisis, it has been …, the total level of investments, output and employment. Abstract When a financial crisis occurs, banks reduce their supply … of interbank funds replicating, to some extent, the behaviour of the interbank market during the last crisis. Through the …

, they do have common threads. The current recession and subsequent debt crisis follow the same pattern. The fiscal and …