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-level forecasts or household expectations. As an application, we employ a panel of Greek manufacturing firms and quantify firms … balance sheets. The method can be applied to a wide range of panel datasets, including qualitative surveys on firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502459
particular violation of the Full Information Rational Expectations hypothesis that requires explanation. In contrast, minor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174792
This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building … mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected … expectations regarding GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and current accounts. Our empirical findings show that fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990178
theory for the expectations building mechanism due to the robust finding that in ation expectations are able to explain …This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building … mechanism in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, we analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435503
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Using real-time data, we analyze how the systematic expectation errors of professional forecasters in 19 advanced economies depend on the state of the business cycle. Our results indicate that the general result that forecasters systematically overestimate output growth (across all countries)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
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